Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Christopher OConnell		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.70	1.44
	2.98	1.44
	2.71	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.58)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
33.7%

Benjamin Bonzi
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Christopher OConnell - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 154. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 89.

In recent matches, OConnell has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bonzi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bonzi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bonzi will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, OConnell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Christopher OConnell - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Christopher OConnell - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
15.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Elias Ymer - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired

Christopher OConnell - Benjamin Bonzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide