Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Henrique Rocha		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.97	1.92
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
49.8%

Christopher OConnell
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christopher OConnell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 121. OConnell is ranked ATP: 156.

Rocha is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

OConnell has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Christopher OConnell - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Elias Ymer - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide