Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Jacob Fearnley		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.93	1.84
	2.07	1.83
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
47.1%

Benjamin Bonzi
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 130. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 89.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fearnley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Keegan Smith - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
20.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2

Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide