Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Christopher OConnell		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.35)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
32.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christopher OConnell's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 71. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 62.

OConnell has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Davidovich Fokina is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
19.10.24	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

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