Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Eurosport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.47	1.53
	2.63	1.55
	2.55	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.47	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.11)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
37.9%

Denis Shapovalov
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's form might have worsened.

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Shapovalov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 50. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 95.

Recent matches Mpetshi Perricard is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shapovalov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Basel
24.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	James Duckworth - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
15.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Basel
24.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLW?

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide