Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Christopher OConnell		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.51	2.53	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
62.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 78. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53.

OConnell is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

OConnell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches OConnell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?LW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	1:2
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired

Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide