Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
			Watch
	2.11	1.65
	2.22	1.7
	2.18	1.65
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.16	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)	1.66 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
43.3%

Christopher OConnell
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. OConnell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175. OConnell is ranked ATP: 119.

Carballes Baena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OConnell is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

OConnell is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that OConnell will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Doha
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Christopher OConnell - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Valentin Royer - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hugo Gaston - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
19.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	1:2
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired

Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide