Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Chun Hsin Tseng		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.21	1.71
	1.87	1.85	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.59)	1.71 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chun Hsin Tseng
45.2%

Rei Sakamoto
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chun Hsin Tseng's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Chun Hsin Tseng - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tseng will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chun Hsin Tseng will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 131. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 180.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tseng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Chun Hsin Tseng - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Hyeon Chung	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Filip Misolic - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Hynek Barton - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Max Basing - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Mae Malige - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
11.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

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