Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Mae Malige		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.70	1.41	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
35%

Rei Sakamoto
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Mae Malige - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Malige will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Malige (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malige (votes: 1 - 50%). Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 435. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 174.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakamoto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Mae Malige - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Mae Malige - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Mae Malige - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Stockholm
11.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

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