Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Clara Burel		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.30	3.40
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.30	3.55
	1.31	3.37	Watch
	1.34	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	3.26 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Burel
71.1%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Burel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Burel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Clara Burel - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Burel is ranked WTA: 301., and Steur is ranked WTA: 330..

Burel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Steur is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Burel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Burel carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Burel
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Clara Burel - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Martina Trevisan - Clara Burel	Burel C. win ✺
15.09.26	Clara Burel - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Clara Burel - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Tessa Johanna Brockmann - Clara Burel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?WLW
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Charo Esquiva Banuls	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Dalila Spiteri	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Neus Torner Sensano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

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