Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Colton Smith		Andrew Fenty

	1	2
			Watch
	1.05	8	Watch
	1.07	9.43
	1.06	8.90	Watch
			Watch
	1.04	8.5	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.9)	7.35 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
85.7%

Andrew Fenty
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.

Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-35.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrew Fenty might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-40.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+40.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrew Fenty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 135. Fenty is ranked ATP: 715.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fenty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smith is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Colton Smith - Govind Nanda	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Colton Smith - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Colton Smith - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Andrew Fenty
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Andrew Fenty	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Kyle Kang - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Jack Anthrop - Andrew Fenty	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Andrew Fenty - Kyle Kang	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Oliver Anderson - Andrew Fenty	Anderson O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWW?

Colton Smith - Andrew Fenty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide