Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Colton Smith		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.35
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	3.23	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.1)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
31.1%

Arthur Fery
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colton Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Colton Smith - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fery will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Fery (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fery (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 136. Fery is ranked ATP: 214.

In recent matches, Smith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fery is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Fery will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Colton Smith - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Colton Smith - Evan Furness	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Colton Smith - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Colton Smith - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	James Duckworth - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Arthur Fery	Canceled ✺
20.10.25	Arthur Fery - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Arthur Fery - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Arthur Fery - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWLW

Colton Smith - Arthur Fery: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide