Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Colton Smith		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.34	3
	1.38	3.21
	1.88	1.86	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.22)	2.81 ↓ (3.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
65.7%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Bar-Biryukov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Colton Smith - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bar-Biryukov will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bar-Biryukov (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 135. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 304.

Smith has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bar-Biryukov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Colton Smith - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	James Duckworth - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Colton Smith - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLL?
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Linang Xiao - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Evan Zhu - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Colton Smith - Petr Bar-Biryukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide