Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Colton Smith		Titouan Droguet

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Colton Smith
56.5%

Titouan Droguet
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Smith is ranked ATP: 135. Droguet is ranked ATP: 166.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Droguet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	James Duckworth - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Colton Smith - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Garrett Johns - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLL?L
- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Titouan Droguet - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW

Colton Smith - Titouan Droguet