Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brownsburg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Colton Smith		Felix Gill

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.51
	1.5	2.41
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.83)	2.4 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
61.3%

Felix Gill
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Gill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Gill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Colton Smith - Felix Gill Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gill will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 197. Gill is ranked ATP: 218.

Smith has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gill has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Smith might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
26.07.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Colton Smith - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Colton Smith - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Colton Smith - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Felix Gill - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Max Basing - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	William Jansen - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Rafael Jodar - Felix Gill	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Colton Smith - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide