Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Savannah, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Savannah 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Kei Nishikori		Colton Smith

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Kei Nishikori
68%

Colton Smith
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nishikori is ranked ATP: 462. Smith is ranked ATP: 189.

Recent performances by Nishikori have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Smith is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nishikori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nishikori is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Clement Tabur - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Clement Tabur - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Colton Smith - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Tyler Zink - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Colton Smith - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Kei Nishikori - Colton Smith