Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.85
	2.09	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.08	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
45.8%

Zhizhen Zhang
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Pinnington Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhizhen Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Zhang will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 136. Zhang is ranked ATP: 270.

Pinnington Jones has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhang's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zhang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhang could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Houston
29.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

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