Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Colton Smith		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.76	2.09
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
55.6%

Pavel Kotov
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Colton Smith - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 261. Kotov is ranked ATP: 102.

Smith is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kotov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Colton Smith - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Karue Sell - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.25	Quentin Halys - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches