Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.55
	1.48	2.71
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	2.56 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
63.4%

Pavel Kotov
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 336. Kotov is ranked ATP: 102.

Recent matches Watanuki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kotov is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watanuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Watanuki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Watanuki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Blake Ellis - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Brandon Holt - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Jaime Faria - Pavel Kotov	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
04.01.25	Pavel Kotov - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2

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