Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Constant Lestienne		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.41	3.11
	1.41	3.11
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	2.99 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
68.1%

Calvin Hemery
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Constant Lestienne - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Hemery will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lestienne is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Benoit Paire	Paire B. retired ✺
25.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?WL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Metz
05.11.23	Mate Valkusz - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Michael Geerts - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Calvin Hemery - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

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