Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Corentin Moutet		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.62	2.32	Watch
	1.64	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.1)	2.32 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
59.1%

Alejandro Tabilo
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 76. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Moutet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moutet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexander Blockx - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.25	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Laslo Djere - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
02.03.24	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
ATP Challenger
25.04.19	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1

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