Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Federico Coria		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.64
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.31	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.19)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
40.6%

Alejandro Tabilo
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	0%	69%

Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Tabilo will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 136. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 28.

Recent matches Coria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tabilo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Santiago
26.02.25	Federico Coria - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Federico Coria - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Laslo Djere - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
29.12.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
19.02.21	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
03.10.19	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1

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