Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.6	Watch
	1.24	4.56
	1.21	4.17	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.2	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.41)	4.07 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
77%

Dusan Lajovic
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dusan Lajovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 35. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 132.

Tabilo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lajovic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tabilo is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.98%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.02%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1

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