Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Corentin Moutet		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.43	1.55
	2.4	1.59
	2.37	1.6
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.37	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
39.3%

Matteo Arnaldi
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Corentin Moutet - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moutet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Toronto
06.08.23	Corentin Moutet - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Corentin Moutet - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.23	Corentin Moutet - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
25.07.23	Yibing Wu - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
19.07.23	John Isner - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Vasek Pospisil - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
06.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Matija Pecotic	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
29.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Corentin Moutet	0:2

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