Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.33	1.59	Watch
	2.39	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
40.1%

Alexei Popyrin
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 37. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 24.

Popyrin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
21.10.24	David Goffin - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LLW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
26.11.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2
ATP Umag
29.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin	1:2

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