Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.88	1.43
	2.83	1.41
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.82	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.39)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
33.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

72.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalibor Svrcina's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Dalibor Svrcina - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 230. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 182.

Recent matches Svrcina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Vit Kopriva - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
13.01.25	Enzo Couacaud - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Martin Landaluce - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	1:2
03.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP United Cup
28.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

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