Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 2
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Ben Shelton		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.09	7
	1.05	9.5	Watch
	1.08	9.94
	1.06	9.15	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.07	8.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.18)	8.72 ↑ (5.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
89.1%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 6. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 137.

Shelton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carreno Busta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shelton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shelton is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Ben Shelton - Ignacio Buse	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.25	Ben Shelton - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ben Shelton - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Ben Shelton - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWW?
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Arthur Fils - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:1

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