Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.52
	2.52	1.58
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.39	1.59	Watch
	2.76	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.76)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
37.9%

Corentin Moutet
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damir Dzumhur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Moutet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Moutet (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Dzumhur (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moutet (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 63. Moutet is ranked ATP: 36.

Dzumhur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moutet is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moutet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Moutet will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Federico Cina - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Damir Dzumhur	1:2
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Corentin Moutet - Damir Dzumhur	2:0

Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide