Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Corentin Moutet		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.73	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
53.6%

Alex Michelsen
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Corentin Moutet aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Alex Michelsen aligns with the current prediction.

Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Michelsen (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 41. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 36.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWL?
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Almaty
17.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Alex Michelsen - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1
ATP Mallorca
27.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0

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