Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.69
	2.23	1.74
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
44%

Corentin Moutet
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Jan Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Moutet will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 2 - 40%). Moutet (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 98. Moutet is ranked ATP: 41.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Struff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan-Lennard Struff - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Almaty
16.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWL?L
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
05.11.24	Corentin Moutet - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	Moutet C. walkover
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	2:0
ATP Adelaide 2
10.01.22	Corentin Moutet - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

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