Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Dan Added		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.67	1.49
			Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.85)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
37%

Alejandro Moro Canas
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Added's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Added, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Dan Added - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 343. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 208.

In recent matches, Added has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moro Canas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Added may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moro Canas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Added won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Dan Added - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Darwin Blanch - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Diogo Morais - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Maxwell McKennon - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Martin Damm - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Taro Daniel - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.07.23	Dan Added - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2

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