Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
			Watch
	1.83	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
51.2%

Francesco Maestrelli
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Maestrelli will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 214. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 254.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Taro Daniel - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Max Wiskandt	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0

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