Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.8	1.8	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
51.7%

Alejandro Moro Canas
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Trungelliti will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 177. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 198.

Trungelliti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moro Canas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Jason Kubler - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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