Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Moez Echargui		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.68
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.39)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
42.1%

Mark Lajal
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Moez Echargui - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lajal will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 175. Lajal is ranked ATP: 156.

Echargui is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lajal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lajal could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.76%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Moez Echargui - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Olle Wallin - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Leo Borg - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 WWWWW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Mark Lajal - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Mark Lajal - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
16.09.25	Mark Lajal - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Mark Lajal - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?WLW

Moez Echargui - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide