Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Referee: Boiteau X. (Fra)


	Dan Added		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.39	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.85)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
39.8%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Added's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Added, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dan Added - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Added is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alvarez Varona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
25.07.24	Michael Geerts - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Dan Added - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Fabrizio Andaloro - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Yaroslav Demin - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
25.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Lilian Marmousez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Dan Added - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide