Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Dane Sweeny		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.8	1.22	Watch
	4.47	1.23
	3.92	1.21	Watch
	2.50	1.50
	3.94	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.49)	1.28 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
25.7%

Bu Yunchaokete
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dane Sweeny's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dane Sweeny - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 132. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 131.

Recent performances by Sweeny have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yunchaokete is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Yunchaokete is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sweeny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Dane Sweeny - Enzo Aguiard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Leandro Riedi	Bu Y. Walkover ✺
10.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Dane Sweeny	2:1
13.09.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Dane Sweeny	2:0

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