Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Quarter-finalsDate: 13 June 2026, Saturday
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Dane Sweeny |
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Toby Samuel |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.00
- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dane Sweeny 23.4% | Toby Samuel 76.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dane Sweeny's form might have worsened.Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel Predictions
Users Predictions:
Toby Samuel will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Sweeny is ranked ATP: 132. Samuel is ranked ATP: 150.Sweeny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Samuel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Samuel could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.47. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;