Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Toby Samuel		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.02
	1.85	2.02
	1.71	2.06	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.75	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)	2.02 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
53.4%

David Goffin
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Samuel's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toby Samuel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Goffin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Toby Samuel - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Goffin will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 159. Goffin is ranked ATP: 247.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Samuel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Martin Damm - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- David Goffin
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	David Goffin - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Thomas Faurel - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Emilio Nava - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	David Goffin - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ignacio Buse - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

Toby Samuel - David Goffin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide