Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Altmaier		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.04	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.04)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
39.9%

Arthur Rinderknech
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Altmaier's form might have worsened.

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Rinderknech's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Altmaier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Rinderknech will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 50. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 29.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rinderknech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LW?LW

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