Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Raphael Collignon		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	2.01	1.78
	1.99	1.79
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.07	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.38)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
46.2%

Arthur Rinderknech
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	0%	96.3%

Raphael Collignon - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Rinderknech will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Rinderknech will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 90. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 28.

In recent matches, Collignon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rinderknech is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Brussels
18.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Shanghai
12.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWWW

Raphael Collignon - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide