Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.5
	2.7	1.51
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.46	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.91)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
36.9%

Alexander Shevchenko
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	0%	90.2%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Shevchenko will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shevchenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Denis Kudla - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Taro Daniel - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWL?L
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
06.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLLL

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