Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tampere 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.62	2.23
	1.58	2.43
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.40
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	2.33 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
59.9%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bailly will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 304. Bailly is ranked ATP: 203.

In recent matches, Galan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bailly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Galan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.05%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Filippo Romano - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Abel Forger	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Miguel Damas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Daniel Elahi Galan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly