Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	2.38 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
60.9%

Jacob Fearnley
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fearnley will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 115. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 73.

Recent matches Galan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fearnley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.18%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Elahi Galan	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Remy Bertola - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Leo Borg - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Daniel Elahi Galan - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide