Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alexander Zverev		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.1	6.5
	1.06	8.21	Watch
	1.08	8.8
	1.07	8.49	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.07	10.7	Watch
	1.08	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 (1.08)	8.4 ↑ (8)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
88.6%

Jacob Fearnley
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Zverev (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 60.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Ben Shelton - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired ✺
13.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLW?W
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	James McCabe - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
12.08.25	Jacob Fearnley - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	0:3

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