Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Leo Borg		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	5.25	1.14	Watch
	6.4	1.08	Watch
	6.23	1.11	Watch
	5	1.14	Watch
	6.3	1.09	Watch
	6.4	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (3.13)	1.11 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Borg
15.7%

Jacob Fearnley
84.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Borg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leo Borg's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Borg than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leo Borg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Leo Borg - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borg is ranked ATP: 492. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 73.

Borg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fearnley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fearnley is absolute favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Borg
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Leo Borg - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Leo Borg - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Leo Borg - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Hamish Stewart - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Leo Borg - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Leo Borg - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide