Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CHENGDU (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.69
	2.14	1.77
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.08)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
45%

Pavel Kotov
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	0%	87.9%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Vladyslav Orlov - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Daniel Evans	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Radu Albot - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Pavel Kotov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Pavel Kotov - Jose-Rubin Statham	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Rinky Hijikata - Pavel Kotov	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Pavel Kotov - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

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