Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Daniel Evans		Daniel Jade

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.52
	2.56	1.61
	2.36	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.57)	1.58 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
40.2%

Daniel Jade
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.

Daniel Jade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Jade's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Daniel Evans - Daniel Jade Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Jade will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jade: 80.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jade (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Jade (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jade (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Evans is ranked ATP: 206. Jade is ranked ATP: 1857.

In recent matches, Jade has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Evans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Evans might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Evans D. retired ✺
10.09.25	Daniel Evans - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Daniel Evans - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Daniel Evans - Filip Peliwo	Evans D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L?WW?
- Daniel Jade
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Daniel Jade - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Daniel Jade - Iliyan Radulov	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Dan Added - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Benoit Torcq - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Daniel Jade - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL

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