Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Rei Sakamoto		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.65
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
64%

Daniel Evans
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rei Sakamoto - Daniel Evans Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rei Sakamoto will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 200. Evans is ranked ATP: 184.

Sakamoto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Evans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Akira Santillan - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Maxim Zhukov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW
- Daniel Evans
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Evans D. retired ✺
10.09.25	Daniel Evans - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Daniel Evans - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Daniel Evans - Filip Peliwo	Evans D. retired ✺
03.09.25	Daniel Evans - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WW?W

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