Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Daniel Evans		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.71
	2.17	1.74
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
47.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Evans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Evans is ranked ATP: 157. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.

Evans is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Evans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Daniel Evans - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Daniel Evans - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Daniel Evans - Filip Peliwo	Evans D. retired ✺
03.09.25	Daniel Evans - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?WL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
08.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLWL

Upcoming Matches