Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Daniel Evans		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.59
	2.5	1.59
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.43	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
38.7%

Fabio Fognini
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabio Fognini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Evans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	0%	55.2%

Daniel Evans - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Fognini will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Evans is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Evans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Daniel Evans - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Daniel Evans - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria	Fognini F. retired ✺
18.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
25.02.20	Daniel Evans - Fabio Fognini	2:1

Daniel Evans - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide